EUR/USD has
posted slight gains in Tuesday trading. Earlier in the day,
the pair rose above 1.3570, a level not seen since
February. The dollar is under pressure as the US government has shut
down non-essential services, as Congress failed to resolve
the budget deadlock. In economic news, Spanish and Italian PMIs missed
their estimates. German Unemployment Change disappointed, coming in way
above the estimate, while the Eurozone Unemployment Rate edged lower. Over in
the US, today’s key event is ISM Manufacturing PMI. The index has looked strong
in recent releases and little change is expected in the September release.
With Congress failing to reach an agreement on the budget before October
1, the US government has now shut down non-essential services. This
last happened in 1996, and politicians on both sides of the divide will
be trying to hammer out a compromise to end the crisis. Both sides seem
entrenched in their positions. Republicans want to defend Obama-care
before they approve a budget, and the Democrats are determined to
protect their health care bill. If things are resolved sometime this
week, it will have been more of a nuisance than a crisis. However,
a much more serious crisis could occur in two weeks if Congress doesn’t
reach an agreement on raising the debt ceiling. If that happens, the
Treasury would be unable to pay all of its bills, and the economic
fallout could be tremendous.
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